技术经济安全评估的“三力”模型构建研究

A study of the “three capabilities” model of techno-economic security evaluation

党的十八大以来,国家安全被提到一个新的高度,随着新一轮科技革命和产业变革的推进以及全球化进入新阶段,技术因素对国家经济安全的影响越发突显,技术经济安全成为亟待研究的课题。文章借鉴了社会生态学领域的"韧性"思想,构建了以"控制力-发展力-保障力"为框架的技术经济安全评估模型,探讨了"三力"的内涵与相互作用机制。在此基础上提出了技术经济安全评估指标体系并采用EWGRP模型,对我国2006~2015年的技术经济安全状况进行测算。结果发现,我国整体技术经济安全状况与发展力呈现上升趋势,但控制力与保障力需要加强。

Since the convening of the 18th CPC National Congress,national security has been placed at a new high level. With advances of ST revolution and the new stage of globalization development,the influence of technology on national economic security has become even more prominent,and the techno-economic security becomes an urgent issue. This article first introduces the ＂three capabilities＂model,which includes ＂controlling capability,development capability and supporting capability＂,and based on this model,it builds up the techno-economic security evaluation framework. Borrowing the concept of resilience in social-ecology research area,this framework explores the content and interaction mechanisms among the three capabilities. Then this paper puts forward the techno-economic security evaluation indicators and by using the EWGRP model,it measures our national techno-economic security based on the empirical data from 2006 to 2015. It finds that there is an increasing improvement of our nation＇s overall techno-economic security and development capability,but there is a necessity to strengthen the controlling and supporting capabilities.