去产能背景下我国钢铁价格走势研究——基于钢铁行业供给侧结构性改革成效的分析

Research on the Trend of China's Iron and Steel Prices under the Background of De-capacity——Analysis of the effectiveness of the structural reform based on the supply side of the steel industry

自2015年底我国实施供给侧结构性改革以来,钢铁行业去产能工作顺利推进,促进了该行业的供需均衡发展,企业效益日益明显回升。本文在此背景下,对我国钢铁行业市场供求和产能利用情况及产品价格走势等方面进行了分析研究,得出市场需求是主导钢铁行业发展的首要因素、产品价格与产能利用状况紧密关联等结论,相关产品价格企稳回升、产能利用率也有所提高,说明相应的宏观调控措施取得了阶段性成效。

Since the implementation of the structural reforms on the supply side at the end of 2015, the elimination of production capacity has been promoted smoothly, which has promoted the balance between supply and demand in the steel industry, and the efficiency of enterprises has apparently picked up.Under this background, this study analyzes the supply and demand situation of the Chinese steel industry, the utilization of production capacity, and the price trend of the product, and concludes that market demand is the leading factor in the development of the Chinese steel industry. The price of related products was closely related to the utilization of production capacity. The prices of related products stabilized and recovered, and the capacity utilization rate also increased. This indicates that the corresponding macro-control measures have achieved phased results.