京津冀地区金融发展与产业升级关系研究——基于资本价格差异视角

Dynamic relationship between regional credit scale and industrial upgrading in Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei——the research based on the respect of the region's different capital price

本文运用门限回归的计量方法,实证检验了京津冀区域金融发展和产业结构升级的动态关系,研究发现:金融发展在京津冀区域能够有效地促进产业结构升级。而拉动弹性在不同地区有所不同,即三地金融发展能够互相促进产业升级,在北京金融发展对产业的促进作用明显,在河北省有所降低,而天津则相对复杂,促进作用存在先变小后变大的两种变化。最后,提出发挥首都的辐射功能,提高三个省市金融效率,促进区域协同发展。

The measurement method of threshold regression model is used to do an empirical test of the dynamic relationship between the industrial structure upgrade of the Beijing Tianjin Hebei regional and financial development. This paper finds that financial development in Beijing Tianjin Hebei region can effectively promote the upgrading of the industrial structure; three regional financial development basically can positively promote the industry upgrading each other, especially the Hebei province＇s financial resource contribution to Beijing and Tianjin is relatively large; The change of the capital price factor in the three regions makes that the impact of financial development on industrial upgrading has a nonlinear transformation. The enlargement of credit scale is improving, which of Hebei Province is lower, while in Tianjin there are two kinds of conversion results. This paper puts forward the policy that we should play the radiation function of Capital, improve the financial efficiency of the three regions, and promote regional coordinated development.