摘要
本文利用1998-2014年全球贸易数据,采用基于能力理论的适合度法和反射法对中国进口产品复杂度进行测算,并利用中国34个工业行业数据,研究进口产品复杂度对产业结构高级化的影响。通过对中国工业行业分类回归后发现,不同类型行业的进口产品复杂度对产业结构高级化的影响不尽相同:中高技术行业进口产品复杂度对产业结构高级化具有积极的促进作用;中低技术行业进口产品复杂度对产业结构高级化的影响相比中高技术行业的促进作用更显著;能源类行业进口产品复杂度对产业结构高级化的影响并不显著。上述结论对于利用适当贸易政策促进产业结构升级具有重要意义。
This paper uses global trade statistics from 1998 to 2014 and the method of fitness degree and reflection based on capability theory to measure the complexity of imported products.And based on the 34 industries＇ data in China,this paper studies the impact of the complexity of imported products on industrial structure upgrading.Through the grouped regression analysis,it is found that the complexity of imported products in the higher-middle-tech industries has a positive effect on industrial structure upgrading. The influence on the lower-middle-tech industries is even more significantly positive,and the complexity of the imported products in the energy industry doesn＇t have a significant influence on structural upgrading. The conclusion of this paper provides a new perspective for the impact of China＇s imported products on the process of China＇s industrial structure upgrading,so it has certain practical significance.
作者
丁一兵
刘威
Ding Yibing;Liu Wei(School of Economics, Jilin University;The Editorial Department of ＂Contemporary Economic Research＂, Jilin University of Finance and Economics)
出处
《经济评论》
CSSCI
北大核心
2018年第3期31-45,共15页
Economic Review
基金
国家社科基金重大项目"‘一带一路’战略实施中推进人民币国际化问题研究"(项目编号:15ZDA017)
国家社科基金战略研究专项项目"‘一带一路’建设过程中推进金融创新和金融保障体系研究"(项目编号:17VDL012)
吉林财经大学博士基金项目(项目编号:2016B15)的资助
关键词
进口产品复杂度
产业结构高级化
反射法
适合度法
Import Product Complexity
Industrial Structure Upgrading
Method of Reflection Method
Fitness Method
