农业支持政策改革:释放多大的黄箱空间

The Reform of Agricultural Support Policies:How Large Amber Box Space Can Be Released?

2014年以来,我国农业支持政策进行了一系列调整,实施了目标价格补贴试点、三项补贴改革和玉米生产者补贴制度。本文测算并比较政策改革前后黄箱支持水平的变化情况,认为目标价格补贴和生产者补贴并不能降低黄箱支持水平,且如果补贴标准不降低反而还存在"破箱"风险,三项补贴改革释放的特定产品支持空间在1%左右,但大大降低了非特定产品支持水平。基于"黄转绿"的目标考虑,提出完善我国农业支持政策的调整措施。

China＇s agricultural support policies has been adjusted a lot since 2014,new policies such as target price subsidy,three-subsidy reform and subsidy for corn producers are implemented at the time. This paper tries to estimate productspecific AMS and non-product-specific AMS of China＇s agricultural policies in amber box from 2011-2015 by using the method provided by WTO and compares the disparities of amber box structure before and after the reform. The result shows that target price subsidy and subsidy for corn producers do not reduce the level of amber box,however if the subsidy standards don＇t be reduced and there will be risky to breach the De Minimis level,the policy space released by three-subsidy reform is around only1% of product-specific AMS,but the policy space for non-product-specific AMS is huge. Based on the goal of＂transition amber box to green box ＂,the paper puts forward some adjustment measures to perfect agricultural support policies in China.