基于博弈论和SIRS的热点事件传播仿真研究

Simulation of Hot Event Propagation Based on Game Theory and SIRS

网络舆情热点事件在网络上的传播速度快,影响力大,已经成为广大网民和政府关心的话题。针对热点传播的问题提出改进的SIRS传播模型,该模型结合博弈论对SIRS模型中的传染体和免疫体进行演化博弈建模,对SIRS模型进行改进,得到热点话题传播的平衡点和规律。最后根据具体网络热点事件对模型进行实验验证,证实该模型的准确性和适用性,为热点事件传播控制提供对策建议。

The hot events of the internet public opinion spread fast and have great influence. It has become a topic of concern for netizens and governments. The spread of hot spots on the internet is similar to the dynamics of infectious diseases, so a traditional SIRS epidemic model based improved model is proposed, combining the analysis of the game theory. The evolutionary game model of infectious body and immune body is constructed, the equilibrium point of the game is found and the law of the spread of hot spots is obtained. The model is verified by experiment through the specific network hot events, and the actual data simulation analysis is carried out through different parameters. The propagation law of hot spots is obtained through the experiments, and the countermeasures and suggestions for the control of the hot spot events are provided.