我国区域经济发展协调性研究——基于经济增长趋同理论的分析

Research on Coordination of Regional Economic Development in China in a New Era——Based on the Economic Growth Convergence

本文依据经济增长趋同现象等理论,利用固定效应的面板数据分位数回归,研究中国经济增长是否存在茁趋同,以此探讨我国新时代区域经济发展的协调性。研究发现：在我国进入经济快速发展时才表现出趋同性,投资对经济发展发挥着正向促进作用;随着经济的发展,以投资拉动经济的方式开始不再适合我国经济发展的需要;我国区域间经济增长趋同性存在差异,东部地区的趋同速度要低于中西部地区;人力资本是促进经济增长的重要因素,尤其是在经济落后的中西部地区的受教育水平的提升对经济增长有着显著的促进作用。

Based on the theory of economic growth convergence, this paper utilizes fixed effect panel data quantile regression to study the presence of β convergence in China Economic growth, so as to explore the coordination of regional economic development in China＇s new era. This paper discovered that convergence is present in China＇s rapid economic development stage; investment plays a positive role in promoting economic development, which is more significant at the beginning of the reform and opening up; but with the development of the economy, the investment-led growth is no longer suitable for the needs of the economic development. The results of sub-regional regressions show that there are differences in the convergence of economic growth among regions in China, and the convergence rate in the eastern region is slightly lower than that in the central and western regions. Human Capital has a certain role in promoting economic growth, and the education level in economically backward middle and west areas has a significant role in promoting economic growth.