理解近代中国工业化的新视角:“时代错置”

Anachronism: The New Perspective to Understand Modern Chinas Industrialization

中国经济增长中出现的诸多不解之谜,迫切需要重新认识当前的认知模式。用西方经济理论来指导和阐释中国实践,本质上类似于一种"时代错置",这种"时代错置"需要在长时段的世界经济格局下来认识。基于"时代错置"的视角,在世界经济变迁中重新理解近代中国的工业化,与渐次推进的世界工业化进程大趋势相反,1850—1950年近代中国移植西方工业化思想在低水平徘徊的100年,看似是"失去的100年",实质上更像是工业化之前传统经济向现代经济内生蜕变的100年,其中蕴含着解开改革开放三十年"增长奇迹"之谜的"金钥匙",更是理解中国经济长期增长"弥足珍贵的100年"。

There are so many puzzles in Chinas economic growth that re-understanding of the current cognitive model is in urgent need.Directing and interpreting Chinese practice with Western economic theory is similar in essence to some kind of anachronism,which needs to be recognized in a long term of the world economic pattern.Re-understanding modern Chinas industrialization in the context of the world economic change from the perspective of anachronism,we find that,contrary to the general trend of gradual progress in world industrialization process,the low-level transplanting of Western industrialization thought in modern China from 1850 to 1950,previously considered as the lost one hundred years,is essentially more like a century-long endogenous metamorphosis from the traditional economy into a modern economy,which contains golden key to the mystery of Chinas Growth Miracle in the 30 years of reform and opening up,and also is the precious hundred years to understand Chinas longterm economic growth.