“一带一路”倡议下中俄木质林产品贸易的互补性及稳定性分析

Analysis on the Complementarity and Stability of Sino-Russian Woody Forest Products Trade under“The Belt and Road” Initiative

运用贸易互补性指数、出口稳定性指数分别对2006～2015年中俄木质林产品贸易的互补性及稳定性进行了研究。结果表明,中俄木质林产品比较优势存在巨大差异,中俄两国在进行木质林产品贸易中遵循了比较优势原理,形成了双向的产业间互补。中俄木质林产品贸易除少数年份有轻微波动外,长期处于稳定状态,这主要得益于两国进出口产品种类的多样化、结构的合理化和较强的贸易互补性。中俄两国应以＂一带一路＂倡议为契机,加强林业经贸合作,实现中俄木质林产品贸易的可持续发展。

The trade complementarity index and export stability index were used to study the complementarity and stability of Sino-Russian woody forest products trade from 2006 to 2015 respectively. The result showed that there were significant differences in the comparative advantages of woody forest products between China and Russia.China and Russia had followed the principle of comparative advantage in the trade of woody forest products, forming a two-way inter-industry complementarity. China and Russia woody forest products trade, in addition to a few years had a slight fluctuation, showed the long-term stability, which was mainly due to the two countries import and export product diversification, rationalization of the structure and strong trade complementarity. China and Russia should take the＂The Belt and Road ＂ initiative as an opportunity to strengthen forestry economic and trade cooperation so as to realize the sustainable development of Sino-Russian woody forest products trade.