黑龙江省国有林区经济转型对经济内生增长的影响研究

Study on the Impact of Economic Transition on Economic Endogenous Growth in State-owned Forest Regions of Heilongjiang Province

以转型经济学理论和内生增长理论为研究理论基础,构建了黑龙江省国有林区经济转型与经济内生增长的指标体系。基于VAR模型研究经济转型对经济内生增长的影响,同时,通过脉冲响应分析及对各相关模型进行方差分解,具体分析了经济转型中各单项指标对经济内生增长的影响。结果表明,经济转型与经济内生增长存在双向因果关系。单项指标方面,投资中非国家投资比重、非林产业产值占林业总产值的比重对经济内生增长值有较强的正向冲击作用。

Based on the theory of transitional economics and endogenous growth theory, the index system of economic transformation and economic endogenous growth of state-owned forest regions in Heilongjiang Province was constructed. Based on the VAR model, the impact of economic transition on the endogenous growth of the economy was studied. At the same time, the impact of each individual index on the economic endogenous growth in the economic transition was analyzed through impulse response analysis and variance decomposition of the relevant models. The result showed that there was a two-way causal relationship between economic transition and economic endogenous growth. In the single indicator aspect, the proportion of non-forest industry output value in forestry output value had a strong positive impact on the economic endogenous growth value.