摘要
基于铁路项目跨度大、周期长、风险因素相互作用明显的特点,通过把DEMATEL和ANP方法相结合,建立用于海外铁路项目风险评估模型,并通过实证研究对中国海外铁路风险进行评估。研究结果发现,市场风险的重要程度最高,自然风险的重要程度最低。
Given the characteristics of overseas railway projects such as crossing multiple regions, long project life cycle and the intense interaction among different risk factors, a risk assessment model was established by combining the DEMATEL and ANP methods, and then we use the model to assess the risk of China＇s overseas railways projects. The results show that the market risk gets the highest degree of importance and the natural risk gets the lowest degree of importance.
作者
王经略
周国华
彭新艳
Wang Jingltle;Zhou Guohua;Peng Xinyan(China-ASEAN Collaborative Innovation Center for Regional Development, Nanning 530004, Chin)
出处
《科技管理研究》
CSSCI
北大核心
2018年第11期219-227,共9页
Science and Technology Management Research
基金
中国-东盟区域发展协同创新中心科研专项和教育部长江学者和创新团队发展计划联合资助项目"中国铁路走向东盟的风险防范对策研究"(CW201509)
