摘要
自"一带一路"倡议提出以来,中国和中东欧国家合作使双方都取得了巨大的进展和成果。本文基于该背景分析了中国和中东欧国家进一步合作的主要障碍,并为双方政府克服这些困难提供了政策建议。首先,文章回顾了"一带一路"推动双方合作的背景,简要总结了该议题的政策艺术性。然后,基于高层官员及专家间的访谈内容和政治论坛上有关合作事项的与会观察,本文提供了对这些原始数据的分析。文章的分析模型结合了两种衡量推进合作障碍的评估标准。第一种基于对问题源头的探讨,即究竟是外生因素还是内生因素造成的;第二种基于代理—结构二分法。之后,文章为每一种障碍提供了各自的理论分析模型(源于结构的内生因素,源于代理的内生因素,源于结构的外生因素,源于代理的外生因素),并相应给出合作实践中的具体实例。本文的最后一部分对每种障碍存在的可能解决机制做出了分析,并提出了双方在未来如何提高适应力和推进合作的指导原则。
Taking in account the progress and successes that the two sides have achieved since the announcement of the Belt and Road Initative （BRI）, the paper analyzes the main obstacles for the advancement of the cooperation between China and the CESEE and offers policy suggestions to both the Chinese and the CESEE governments on how to overcome them. It does so by first, reviewing the context in which the cooperation under the BRI has developed, and secondly, by briefly summarizing the state of the art in terms of policy literature available on the topic, and then providing original analysis based on data collected through interviews with high ranking officials and experts, and participant observation in policy forums related to the cooperation. The analytical model developed in the paper combines two sets of criteria of assessing the obstacles to advancing the cooperation. The first set is based on the origin of the problems, meaning whether they are driven by exogenous factors or endogenous factors. The second set of criteria is based on the agency - structure dichotomy. It then provides a theoretical model for the each of types of obstacles （endogenous rooted in structure, endogenous rooted in agents, exogenous rooted in structure, exogenous rooted in agents）, followed by concrete examples from the practice of the cooperation. In the final section, the paper provides an analysis of the possible solutions to individual cases of obstacles, but also general guidelines how to develop resilience and advance the cooperation in future.
出处
《国际商务研究》
CSSCI
北大核心
2018年第4期57-66,87,共11页
International Business Research
