中国省际绿色发展指数空间计量分析

Spatial Econometric Analysis on Chinese Inter-Provincial Green Development Index

文章构建了评价省际绿色发展的指标体系,采用因子分析法进行绿色发展综合评价;利用GEODA软件进行探索性空间数据分析（ESDA）;空间杜宾模型（SDM）分析结果显示：（1）省际绿色发展指数空间格局呈现HH和LL的集聚模式。区域上表现为东部〉中部〉西部和东部。（2）空间溢出效应分析表明产业结构IS和城市化率对临近区域绿色发展有助催作用,科技创新水平TL对临近区域绿色发展具有负向溢出效应,显示出TL呈现虹吸效应。

This paper constructs the index system of evaluation of inter-provincial green development, and then adopts the factor analysis method to carry on the green development comprehensive evaluation. Finally the paper uses GEODA software to carry out exploratory spatial data analysis. Analysis results of spatial Durbin model（SDM） show that（1） the spatial pattern of inter-provincial green development index shows the clustering pattern of HH and LL; the area is characterized by the eastern greater than the central which is greater than the western and the eastern.（2） The spatial spillover effect analysis shows that the industrial structure IS and the urbanization rate have a positive effect on the green development of the adjacent areas; the technological innovation level TL has a negative spillover effect on the green development in the adjacent area, showing that the TL exhibits a siphon effect.