城镇化对福建省生活能源消费的影响研究

Study on the Impact of Urbanization on Living Energy Consumption of Fujian Province

通过选取福建省2003—2015年的数据,运用描述统计、回归分析等方法实证分析城镇化对生活能源消费的影响。研究发现：2003—2015年,福建省的城镇化率远远高于全国的城镇化率,生活能源消费的增长速度明显快于全国的增长速度,城镇化与生活能源消费之间存在很强的正相关关系。同时,城镇化对生活能源消费产生显著的正向影响,但这种影响会受到居民消费水平的调节作用而有所减弱。因此,在充分发挥城镇化拉动地区经济发展作用的同时,需要在城镇化进程中着手调控生活能源消费以减少碳排放,并合理确定城镇化的规模与增长速度。

Based on the data from 2003 to 2015 in Fujian Province, the impact of urbanization on the living energy consumption is empirically analyzed by using the descriptive statistics and regression analysis. The study finds that the urbanization rate of Fujian Province is much higher than that of the whole country. Over the past thirteen years, the growth rate of living energy consumption in Fujian Province is obviously faster than that of the whole country. There is a strong positive correlation between urbanization and living energy consumption of Fujian Province. At the same time, urbanization has a significant positive impact on the living energy consumption of Fujian Province, but this effect will be weakened by the consumption level of residents. Therefore, while giving full play to the role of urbanization in stimulating regional economic development in the process of urbanization, it is necessary to regulate and control the living energy consumption in order to reduce carbon emissions, and reasonably determine the scale and growth rate of urbanization.