积极变化与疑虑并存:越南对“一带一路”认知之变迁与对策思考

Coexistence of positive changes and concerns: Changes in Vietnam's cognition of the Belt & Road Initiative and our possible solutions

自2013年中国政府提出"一带一路"倡议以来,越南的态度经历了由怀疑到谨慎欢迎的转变。从发展趋势来看,越南各阶层总体上对"一带一路"的认知与态度继续朝着积极方向发展。与此同时,也依然心存疑虑,包括担忧南海问题会干扰中越合作共建"一带一路"、担忧合作共建导致越南进一步加深对华依赖、担忧"一带一路"构想虽好但缺乏具体操作方案。长期而言,两国需共同解决好一些根深蒂固的问题。从短期看,中国极需做好三件事情:改进中国对越关于"一带一路"的宣传;在区域、次区域和国别三个层面完善政策沟通机制;由易及难地逐步推进部分项目的具体合作。

Since the Chinese government launched the Belt Road Initiative in 2013,Vietnam＇s attitude towards it has undergone a shift from suspicion to cautious welcome. Judging from the development trend,the cognition of and attitude towards the BRI in all social sectors of Vietnam continue to move forward positively. At the same time,there are still some concerns,for example,the issue concerning the South China Sea will interfere with the Sino-Vietnamese cooperation in promoting the BRI＇s implementation which might lead Vietnam to further rely on China; the BRI is a good concept but it lacks specific operational plans. In the long term,China and Vietnam must work together to resolve some deep-rooted problems. In the short term,China needs to accomplish three things： improving our publicity of the BRI in Vietnam; perfecting policy communication mechanisms at the regional,sub-regional,and national levels; gradually promoting the step-by-step accomplishment of some projects.