“新南向政策”背景下台湾地区与印度经贸关系前景探析

An Analysis of the Prospect of the Economic and Trade Relations between Taiwan and India under the Background of “New Southward Policy”

新世纪以来,台湾地区与印度经贸增速较快,但经贸发展现状基础较差。蔡英文当局为阻挠两岸经贸融合,推出"新南向政策",着力强化与印度经贸关系。印度推出"智慧城市""印度制造""德里孟买工业开发走廊""数字印度"等国家战略,台湾以12个重点项目与之对接。受制于印度投资环境欠佳、台湾岛内政治干扰严重、竞争对手日渐强势、大陆的比较优势以及具体产业特征,台湾地区与印度经贸合作发展前景总体偏弱、空间不大,但某些优势产业会有较大发展空间。

There has been a rapid economic and trade growth between Taiwan and India since the new century,but the base for the status of the development is relatively poor. However,in order to block the cross-Strait economic and trade integration,Tsai Ing-wen launched the＂New South Policy＂to strengthen the economic and trade relations with India. India has launched national strategies such as Smart Cities,Indian Manufacturing,Delhi-Mumbai Industrial Development Corridor and Digital India to connect with Taiwan＇s 12 key projects. Due to the poor investment environment in India,the serious political interference by the Taiwan authorities,the growing strength of competitors,and the comparative advantages of the mainland and its specific industrial characteristics,the prospects for the development of economic and trade cooperation between Taiwan and India are generally weak with a little room for development. However,some superior industries can have bigger development space.