精准扶贫地区人口贫困状态及影响因素研究——基于海南省扶贫调查数据的实证分析

The Status and Influencing Factors of Poverty-stricken Population in the Areas Adopting Targeted Poverty Alleviation Strategy: Empirical Data Analysis of the Survey in Hainan Province

本文重点关注精准扶贫地区贫困人口个体特征对贫困状态的影响。基于海南省36个贫困村扶贫调查数据,使用Probit模型实证检验结果表明,更贫困发生概率与贫困人口教育水平及脱贫能力和意识等个人特征关系显著,同时与家庭人口结构、收入来源、社会组织、交通等家庭和社会特征有关。在制定精准扶贫政策时,要重视更贫困人口自觉、自发的脱贫努力在扶贫参与过程中起到的主体作用,使脱贫意识和脱贫能力同步提升,从根本上杜绝返贫现象发生。

The Poverty-stricken people’characteristics have significant impacts on their poverty status and such analysis canbe benefit the implementation of targeted poverty alleviation policy. The analysis of the survey data from 36 poverty-strickenvillages in Hainan province by probit model empirical test show that there is significant relation between the probability ofservere poverty and the personal characteristics such as education, their human capital, and consciousness of livingwellbeing. Meanwhile servere poverty can be impacted by the other variables such as family structure, income sources,social organization, and transportation accessibility. The poverty fighting policy especially the targeted poverty alleviationstrategy need take account the poverty -stricken population’ s individuals’ characteristics to cultivate their capabilities,motivate their motives, consciousness and self-efforts to coordinate with the implementation of the poverty fighting policy.