全国主要城市房地产可持续发展水平综合评价

Evaluating the Sustainable Development of Real Estate in the Major Cities of China

基于2011~2015年我国房地产业相关数据的量化分析和DPSIR模型,构建了全国主要城市房地产可持续发展评价的指标体系,全面分析各种因素对房地产可持续发展的影响,找出我国房地产发展过程中的优势和劣势及其产生原因,为房地产宏观调控提供决策依据。建立DPSIR模型,利用DPSIR模型对我国19个典型城市房地产发展状况进行实证分析,并给出了综合评价;结合我国国情,针对性地提出了有利于我国房地产进一步发展的策略建议。结果表明:我国房地产总体可持续发展能力一般及以下的城市占这19个城市总数的42.11%,深圳和厦门的房地产可持续发展能力较强,哈尔滨的房地产可持续发展能力最弱。

Based on quantitative analyses on the relevant data of the real estate industry in China from 2011 to 2015 and ＂Drivers-Pressure-State-Impact-Response ＂ DPSIR model, this paper establishes an index system for evaluating the sustainable development of the real estate of Chinese major cities, analyzes the influences of various factors on the sustainable development of real estate, finds out the advantages and disadvantages of the real estate development in China, and provides the basis for the macro-control of real estate. First of all, we build DPSIR model Second, we use the DPSIR model to empirically analyze the real estate development situation of 19 typical cities in China, and conduct a comprehensive evaluation. Finally, considering the national conditions of China, we propose a few targeted suggestions for the future development of real estate in China. The results show that the sustainable development capacity of Chinese real estate is at the ordinary level, and around 42.11 percent of the total 19 cities are at or below the ordinary level, Shenzhen and Xiamen have strong real estate development capabilities, and Harbin has the weakest real estate development capacity.