摘要
供给侧结构性改革是适用经济新常态,推进产业转型升级和高度化的战略选择。本文通过D函数指标,测度出1952—2016年中国产业结构高度化演变情况并进行了区域和国别比较,借助多元回归模型实证分析影响中国产业结构高度化的需求侧和供给侧因素。研究结果表明:中国产业结构高度化面临许多结构性问题,产业结构高度化还处于低级发展阶段且落后于高收入水平国家,供给侧因素比需求侧因素对产业结构高度化影响更为显著。在此基础上,从供给侧结构性改革层面提出了加快推进产业结构高度化的路径选择。
The structural reform on the supply side is a strategic choice for applying the new economic normal and promoting industrial restruc- turing and advancing. This paper measures the advanced evolution of China' s industrial structure from 1952 to 2016 and compares it with the regional and country - by - country D - function indicators. Ituses a muhiple regression model to empirically ana- lyze the demand- side and supply- side factors that influence the advancement of China' s industri- al structure. The study results show that: China' s industrial structure is facing a lot of structural prob- lems, and the industrial structure is still in a low - level development stage and lags behind high - income countries. Supply -side factors have a more significant impact on the industrial structure than demand - side factors. On this basis, from the perspective of supply - side structural reforms, we propose ways to accelerate the advancement of the industrial structure.
出处
《宏观经济研究》
CSSCI
北大核心
2018年第6期78-86,106,共10页
Macroeconomics
基金
福建省软科学项目“新常态下福建产业向中高附加值产业转型发展路径研究”(2018R0006)
福建省高校新世纪优秀人才支持计划项目“经济新常态下我国战略性新兴产业融合发展路径创新研究”(闽教科[2015]54号)
福建省科协重点项目“供给侧结构性改革视阈下的福建经济发展方式转变研究”(闽科协发学[2016]39号)
福州市社会科学规划课题“新常态下福州市产业向中高附加值链端转型发展路径研究”(2016FZ29)的资助
关键词
供给侧改革
经济新常态
产业结构高度化
产业融合
Supply side reform
Economic new normal
Industrial structure advancement
Industrial convergence