从经济同步性看国际外汇市场波动趋势

A Study on the International FX Market Trends from the Perspective of Economic Synchronization

从美元指数变动的历史周期来看，之前两次美元指数上涨最终结束于全球经济进人同步向上的轨道。今年年初的外汇市场交易也正是向这个方向前进，但是两个事件打断并迄今为止阻止了上述过程的发生，从而导致了美元指数的大幅反弹。中期来看，美元指数的王者地位将受到挑战。

From the perspective of the historical cycles of the US dollar index, the last two rise rounds of the US dollar index eventually ended with the global economy entering a synchronized upward trend. The FX market also moved in the same direction at the beginning of this year, however, two events have interrupted and prevented the process so far, which led to a sharp rebound of the US dollar index. In the medium term, the strength of the US dollar index will be challenged.