2017年中俄经贸合作分析与前景展望

Analyses and Prospects of China-Russia Economic and Trade Cooperation in 2017

2017年中俄双边经贸合作的特点是贸易规模大幅攀升,显示出强劲的增长态势,贸易结构持续改善,贸易份额继续增加。跨境电商这种新的贸易方式发展迅速,运输业、金融、旅游、教育等领域的服务贸易也保持了较高增速。投资方面,中方对俄投资规模大幅提高,主要集中在采矿业和农林牧渔业,同时跨国并购开始显现,地方合作蓬勃发展。这些成绩和进步的取得,除了双方政府的共同努力外,两个重要的外部因素不容小觑:一是国际油价的回升,二是西方国家对俄经济制裁的持续给其他国家让出了一部分贸易份额。未来,中俄贸易保持小幅低速增长的可能性较大,贸易份额和贸易结构将进一步改善,但扩大的空间有限。受制于双方市场准入和营商环境的水平较低,未来双方将在农业、高新技术产业和产能合作等方面继续努力,培育新的增长点,改善营商环境,使中俄双边经贸合作走上持续、稳定、健康的发展之路。

In 2017, the bilateral economic and trade cooperation between China and Russia was characterized by a large increase in trade volume, showing a strong growth trend, continuous improvement of the trade structure, and continued increase in the trade share. Cross - border e - commerce has developed rapidly as a new mode of trade, and service trade in the transportation, finance, tourism and education sectors has also maintained a relatively high growth rate. In terms of investment, the scale of Chinese investment in Russia has increased substantially, mainly in the mining industry and in agriculture, forestry, animal hus- bandry and fisheries. At the same time, cross - border mergers and acquisitions have begun to appear, and local cooperation has flourished. Apart from the joint efforts of the governments of the two sides, two important external factors to contribute to these a- chievements and progress cannot be underestimated ： one is the recovery of international oil prices, and the other is that the con- tinued economic sanctions imposed by Western countries on Russia have given a share of trade to other countries. In the future, Sino - Russian trade will maintain a relatively small chance of slow growth. The trade share and trade structure will be further im- proved, but there is limited room for expansion. Constrained by the low levels of market access and business environment of the two sides, the two sides will continue to work hard in the areas of agriculture, high - tech industries, and production capacity co- operation to cultivate new growth points, improve the business environment, and promote bilateral economic and trade cooperation into the sustainable, stable and healthy development path.