动态视角下国际投资的宏观环境综合评价——基于改进的CRITIC赋权和TOPSIS法

Comprehensive Assessment of International Investment Macro-Environment from the Dynamic Perspective——Based on Improved CRITIC Weighting and TOPSIS Method

宏观环境的优劣是进行国际投资决策的关键因素。本文构建国际投资的宏观环境指标体系,用改进的Critic方法确定了指标体系的客观权重,结果表明经济水平、社会安全和政府有效性对一国投资的宏观环境意义非凡。通过TOPSIS法对33个国家2013~2017年的宏观环境进行综合评价,结果表明澳大利亚、德国、英国等发达国家的综合得分5年来一直稳定在前列,优良的投资宏观环境为本国带来了更多的投资机会。不过,巴基斯坦、南非、老挝、菲律宾等国的综合得分较低,但在政治环境和社会弹性方面仍具有比较优势,在经济全球化的不断演进中社会环境日渐完善。

The quality of macro-environment is a key factor for international investment decision. This paper constructs index system of the macro-environment of international investment,with the improvement of CRITIC method to determine the objective weight of index system,the results show that the economic development level,social security and government effectiveness are significant for the macro environment of a country＇s investment. Then 33 countries macro environment are evaluated by the TOPSIS method of 2013 - 2017 data. The results show that the developed countries such as Australia,Germany,Britain＇s stable composite scores for the past five years has been in the forefront,excellent investment macro-environment has brought more investment opportunities for his country. However,although Pakistan,South Africa,Laos,the Philippines and other countries of the comprehensive score is low,but in terms of political environment and social elasticity still has a comparative advantage,evolve with the economic globalization in the social environment is perfect.