基于文献计量学的洪涝灾害研究现状及发展趋势分析

Current research situation and development trend of flood and waterlogging disasters based on bibliometrics

以美国科学情报机构科学引文索引数据库(SCI-E)为数据源,通过文献计量学的方法从文献数量、学者数量、文献发表期刊分布、发文国家/地区、科研机构及关键词等方面对数据库中1988—2015年洪涝灾害的相关文献进行分析,以评估洪涝灾害的研究趋势。结果显示:1988—2015年洪涝灾害在其领域内发展迅速,无论是文献总量、参与研究的作者数量还是研究内容上都随时间呈上涨趋势;洪涝灾害相关论文主要覆盖的学科类别是"水资源",Natural Hazards为发表相关论文最多的学术期刊;美国是洪涝灾害领域发文量最多的国家,中国紧随其后位列第二;学术力量方面,洪涝灾害相关研究力量以高等院校为主,其中中国科学院为该领域研究发文量最高的科研机构;通过对关键词的分析可知,与洪涝灾害相关的科学问题研究中,"洪水管理""气候变化"和"模型"是未来研究热点,将高新技术广泛使用于洪涝灾害的研究领域,控制洪涝灾害对国民经济造成的损失,有利于经济的持续、稳定和健康发展。

Based on the data source of SCI-E of American Scientific Intelligence Institution, by using the bibliometric method to analyze the literatures related to flood and waterlogging disasters in the database from 1988 to 2015,such as number of documents, number of scholars, distribution of publications,distribution of papers, issuing countries, scientific research institutions and key words,so as to evaluate the research trend of flood and waterlogging disasters. The results show that the researches on flood and waterlogging disasters have rapid development during the period from1988 to 2015. The total amount of literatures,the number of the authors involved in the studies and the content of studies all increase with time. The main subjects covered by the flood-related papers are "water resources ", and the magazine "Natural Hazards " is the academic journal that publishes the most related papers. The United States of America is the country with the largest number of papers on flood and waterlogging disasters, and China has published the second largest number of papers. From the aspect of academic strength,the research forces related to flood and waterlogging disasters are mainly the colleges and universities,among which the Chinese Academy of Sciences is the research institution with the highest amount of researches in this field.Through the analysis of the keywords, it is known that the scientific research problems associated with flood and waterlogging disasters,"flood management","climate change"and "model",are the future research focus. Wide application of high and new technology in the research field of flood and waterlogging disasters and controlling the losses caused by them to the Chinese national economy are conducive to sustainable,stable and healthy development of the economy.