基于空间负荷预测的临夏城网远期饱和负荷预测方法研究

Research on Long-term Saturated Load Forecasting Method of Linxia City Grid Based on Spatial Load Forecasting

由于电力系统负荷的大小和多种因素有关,不同的条件衍生出了不同的预测方式,因此通过论述负荷预测的重要性及基本思路,根据每个行业的负荷密度指数调查结果,比较中国成熟地区的负荷密度指数,开展基于空间负荷预测的临夏城网远期饱和负荷预测,以提高远期负荷预测的准确性,具有较好的参考价值。

Load forecasting is the basis of power grid planning and power system construction.Its accuracy will directly affect the quality of power grid planning.Since the load capacity of the power system is related to a number of factors,different prediction methods are derived from different conditions.Based on the importance of load forecasting and its basic idea,the load density indexes of mature regions in China are compared in this paper,and the long-term saturated load of Linxia city grid is forecasted based on spatial load forecasting,to improve the accuracy of long-term load forecasting.