基于高斯正交化插值的灰色GM(1,1)模型的新疆GDP实证分析与预测

The Empirical Analysis and Forecast of Xinjiang GDP Based on the Grey GM(1,1) Model of Gauss Orthogonalization Interpolation

在灰色GM(1,1)模型的基础上,利用高斯正交化插值对灰色GM(1,1)模型进行了背景值的重构,以消除传统灰色预测模型带来的预测偏差问题;利用该模型对新疆近十年的GDP水平进行了预测分析,结果表明,该模型具有较高的预测精度和的实效性.

On the basis of grey GM（1,1） model, the background value of gray GM（1,1） model is reconstructed by gauss orthogonalization interpolation to eliminate prediction bias caused by traditional grey prediction model.The model has been used to predict the GDP of xinjiang for nearly ten years, and the results show that the model has high prediction accuracy and effectiveness.