摘要
透明度原则被认为是保障国际贸易顺畅运行的重要机制,但其具体的贸易效应往往难以衡量。本文试图以进口许可证通报义务的履行为例,定量分析透明度原则实施情况对进出口贸易的影响。本文基于26个世界贸易组织(WTO)成员1996~2016年的面板数据,运用扩展的引力模型和倾向得分匹配法,分析了成员进口许可证通报义务的履行对贸易的影响,研究了进口许可证通报目前的困境并分析了我国在通报义务履行过程中的现状和不足。计量分析结果显示,进口许可证通报义务的履行对WTO成员的进口和出口贸易均有显著的正面影响。
Based on the panel data of 26 WTO members from 1996 to 2016, this paper uses the expanded gravity model and the Propensity Score Matching method to study the effect of import licensing notification on members＇ export trade. Besides, the paper also studies the current situation of WTO members＇ fulfillment of import licensing notification obligations and the challenges that all the members including China to face. The results show that the notifying import licensing questionnaire is affected by GDP, GDP per capita and the regional trade agreement, and import licensing notification has a significant positive impact on the growth of WTO member＇s import and export trade.
作者
屠新泉
蒋捷媛
TU Xinquan;JIANG Jieyuan(China Institute for WTO Studies,University of International Business and Economies,Beijing 100029)
基金
国家社科基金重大项目“逆全球化动向与国际经贸规则重构的中国方案研究”(17ZDA098)
教育部人文社会科学重点研究基地重大项目“多边贸易体制70年发展历程回顾与思考”(16JJD790008)
对外经济贸易大学研究生科研创新基金一般项目“透明度原则的贸易效应--以WTO进口许可证通报义务履行为例”(2017035).
关键词
透明度原则
进口许可证
通报义务
进出口贸易
引力模型
Transparency Principle
Import License
Notification Obligations
Import and Export Trade
Gravity Model
