公共教育服务对居民二孩生育意愿的影响分析——来自CGSS数据的经验证据

An Analysis of the Influence of the Public Education Service on the Fertility Desire of Residents to Bear a Second Child——An Empirical Study Based on CGSS

本文通过对CGSS数据库2013年的数据研究发现,公共教育服务满意度可能影响居民的二胎生育意愿,且对居民的二孩生育意愿产生显著的正影响,这种影响对城市居民和男性更显著。通过进一步对反映公共教育服务水平的不同维度以及不同阶段的公共教育服务满意度进行分析,得出提高公共教育服务分布的均衡性对提升居民二孩生育意愿有重要的影响,且这一影响在大城市表现得更为突出的研究结论。不同公共教育阶段中,学前教育和义务教育阶段满意度的提升将对居民的二孩生育意愿产生正向影响。

Based on data 2013 from Chinese General Social Survey （ CGSS ） , our research found that the satisfaction degree of public education service can affect the fertility desire of residents to bear a second child. The fact that the satisfaction degree has obvious positive effect on residents＇ fertility desire to bear the second child is extremely prominent for urban residents and males. Further research on different dimensions and stages of education shows that spatial distribution balance has obvious effect on residents＇ fertility desire, which is especially outstanding in big cities. Among different stages of education, preprimary education and compulsory education have obvious positive effect on residents＇ fertility desire to bear the second child.