低碳节能与经济发展的困境:理论分析与经验数据

The Dilemma of Low-Carbon Energy-Saving and Economic Development: Theoretical Analysis and Empirical Data

在当今全球化过程中,能源短缺、环境污染和全球变暖等问题也渐渐引起全世界的关注,由此也引起了以低碳经济为核心的绿色产业革命。但低碳经济在中国的发展十分缓慢,面临着诸多困境。因此,对低碳经济的相关研究,有助于解决低碳经济在中国发展缓慢的局面。文章试图从两个方面来分析中国在发展低碳经济中面临的困境：首先说明在发展低碳经济过程中,中央政府、地方政府和企业三方之间在利益博弈时所引起的矛盾和效率损失;然后从实证角度分析年能源消耗总量与经济增长之间存在的正向因果关系,说明在技术水平一定时,节能减排政策会引起实际GDP的减少,从而导致低碳经济发展困难,并得出结论及进一步讨论。

In the process of globalization, energy shortage, environment pollution and global warming and other issues have also gradually attracted the attention of the world,which has also led to a green industrial revolution with a low-carbon economy as the core. But the development of low-carbon economy in China is very slow,and facing many difficulties. Therefore,the research related low-carbon economy,will contribute to solving to the slow develop-ment of lowcarbon economy in China. This paper tries to analyze the dilemma that China faces in developing low-carbon economy from two aspects: first of all, in the process of developing low-carbon economy,we will illustrate the game among the central government,local government and the enterprise from profit caused the contradiction and the loss of efficiency. And then from the perspective of empirical analysis, we analysis a positive causal relationship between annual energy consumption and economic growth; the policies of energy-saving and emission-reduction will lead to real GDP reduction, and then resulting the difficulties in low-carbon economic development. Finally,we draw the conclusion and discuss it further.