中国地区HDI指数差异持续下降及影响因素(1982-2015)

The Continuous Decrease of China's HDI Regional Disparity and Its Causes(1982-2015)

文本计算了1982-2015年期间中国各省人类发展水平数据,分析1982年以来我国人类发展水平地区差距的变动情况,并采用方差分解法,对人类发展水平地区差距以及地区差距变动进行了分解。研究表明,改革开放以来,中国各省区的人类发展水平显著提高,且人类发展水平的地区总差异明显缩小。收入差异是地区差距的主要决定因素,但近年来,教育差异和健康差异对总差异的贡献显著增加。收入差异的减小是人类发展水平地区差异迅速减小的主要原因,进一步缩小地区间发展差距,需要同时推动教育协调发展和健康协调发展,形成协调发展的合力。

The paper calculates the data of Human Development Index（HDI）in China from 1982 to 2015,analyzes the changes of the HDI regional disparity since 1982,and separates it from overall regional disparity by using the variance decomposition method.The study shows that since the reform and opening up,China’s HDI has increased significantly,while the regional gap has been narrowed considerably.Income inequality is a major determinant of regional disparities,but in recent years,differences in education and health contribute remarkably to total discrepancy.The reduction of income inequality is the main reason for the rapid decline of HDI regional differences.To further narrow the regional divergence,concerted efforts are needed to enhance coordinate development of education and healthcare.