2018年国内小麦市场形势展望

Prospect of Domestic Wheat Market in 2018

进入2018年以来,国内小麦价格走势持续回落,截至新麦上市之前价格水平同比明显下降了一个台阶。根据市场监测,截止到5月中旬末全国小麦平均收购价格为2 398元/t,比2017年同期的2 586元/t下跌了188元/t,跌幅达7.3%。随着新产小麦陆续收获上市,2018年复杂的小麦产情将导致后期小麦收购价格出现明显的分化走势,质量好的小麦将受到更大的青睐,价格预计突破政策底价的可能性较大。

Since 2018, domestic wheat prices continued to decline, before beginning of the new wheat market, the price level has dropped significantly. According to monitoring, at the end of May, the average purchase price of wheat nationwide was 2 398 yuan/t, down 188 yuan/t from 2 586 yuan/t in the same period on the last year, reach a decrease of 7.3%. With the new harvested wheat, wheat market production situation will lead to a significant difference from the later period.Wheat of good quality will be favored, the price of which will be expected to exceed the policy price.