人民币汇率变动对安徽主要农产品出口贸易结构影响实证分析

Empirical Analysis of RMB Exchange Rate Change on Export Structure Major Agricultural Products in Anhui

以人民币汇率与安徽主要农产品出口贸易的年度数据为依据,建立模型,运用Eviews软件进行了ADF检验和Johansen检验,实证分析了人民币汇率变动对安徽主要农产品出口贸易结构的影响。结果显示:人民币汇率变动对安徽主要农产品中的蔬菜与茶叶出口影响显著,主要农产品出口贸易结构变动对汇率变动反应敏感度有快有慢,并对此提出一些可行性建议。

Based on the annual data of the RMB exchange rate and the export trade of Anhui＇s major agricultural products,a model was established. ADF test and Johansen test were carried out by using Eviews software,and the effect of the change of RMB exchange rate on the export trade structure of Anhui＇s major agricultural products were analyzed. Results showed the change of RMB exchange rate has a significant influence on the export of major products of vegetables and tea in Anhui,the changes in the export trade of major agricultural products are fast and slow in response to exchange rate changes,and some feasible countermeasures were put forward.