海南省签证制度对入境旅游的影响

Influence of Hainan's Visa Policy on Inbound Tourism

随着"一带一路"倡议的提出,旅游业将成为沿线国家和地区的优选战略。海南是"21世纪海上丝绸之路"重要支点,并拥有目前全国最便利的入境签证政策。基于1995至2016年的13个客源国入境游数据并利用偏差校正LSDV法进行分析,旨在研究签证政策的施行对海南国际旅游的影响。实证研究结果表明"免签证"政策、客源国人均收入和突发事件对海南岛入境旅游具有显著影响,汇率同样有一定的影响,但不显著。

Under the guidance of＂One Belt and One Road＂,tourism industry will become the preferred strategy for countries and regions along the route. Hainan is an important strategic fulcrum for the＂21 st Century Maritime Silk Road＂and has the most convenient visa policy in China. Based on the data of 13 international source countries from 1995 to 2016,deviation-correction LSDV method is applied to analyze the impact of visa policy implemented in Hainan international tourism. The empirical results revealed that visa-free policy,per capita income of source countries,and the emergencies had the significant impact on the inbound tourism of Hainan. The exchange rate also had some but not great influence.