湖南省农村消费结构变动与影响因素研究——基于1991—2016年农村居民调查数据的分析

Study on Change of Rural Consumption Structure and Its Influencing Factors in Hunan Province——Based on Analysis of Rural Residents' Survey Data from 1991 to 2016

基于湖南省1991—2016年农村居民调查数据,构建消费结构变动度测量模型,对居民消费结构变动度进行度量。利用偏最小二乘法(PLS)分析影响湖南农村消费结构变动的因素,结果表明:(1)1991—2016年湖南省农村居民消费结构变动度逐年增加,消费结构逐渐升级优化。(2)综合五个时期对湖南省消费结构变动贡献度从小到大排名依次为:食品>教育文化娱乐>交通和通信>医疗保健>家庭设备用品>衣着>居住。(3)影响消费结构变动的因素中,工资性收入、经营性收入、转移性收入、产业发展、合作医疗的参加率、城镇化率和农村人口数量都对消费结构变动产生了正向影响。基于上述研究结果,为优化湖南农村消费结构提出了相关建议。

Based on the survey data of rural residents from 1991 to 2016 in Hunan Province,a measurement model of the change degree of consumption structure was constructed to measure the change degree of residents＇ consumption structure. This paper used the partial least squares（ PLS） to analyze the influencing factors of the change of rural consumption structure in Hunan. The results showed：（1）From 1991 to 2016,the change of consumption structure of rural residents in Hunan increased year by year,and the consumption structure gradually improved.（2）Five period of the comprehensive changes in the consumption structure of Hunan contribution since the childhood ranked in the order： Food education and cultural entertainment traffic and communication health care household appliance dressed live.（3） The factors which influenced the consumption structure changes,salary income,income of business income,metastatic,industry development,medical cooperative medical participation rate,urbanization rate and the rural population had a positive influence on the consumption structure changes. Based on the above research results,it was suggested to optimize the consumption structure in rural Hunan.