中美制造业成熟度比较研究

A Comparative Study of Manufacturing Maturity between China and America

本文运用灰色关联的方法度量评价指标,分析中美制造业整体及细分行业的成熟水平差距。研究表明,中国制造业发展指数相对于美国在不断改善,并在2008年金融危机后赶超美国,而协调水平指数严重偏斜并在危机爆发后出现下降。细分行业对比中,中低技术制造发展度高,这与中国的比较优势和战略选择相符。协调水平评价中,低技术和高技术制造业表现优于美国,一方面是由于体量小,发展速度保持稳定;另一方面是中国的产业链完整,分工程度高,使得产业间的关联性增强。

The gray correlation method is used to measure the evaluation indicators, and the gap between the mature manufacturing industry in China and the US and the maturity level of the sub-sectors are analyzed. The results show that China＇s manufacturing development index is improving consistently relative to the United States, and the development index surpassed the United States after the 2008 financial crisis, while the coordination level index was severely skewed, and the index even declined after the crisis broke out. The development of medium and low technology is high, which is consistent with China＇s comparative advantage and strategic choice. In the evaluation of coordination level, low-tech and high-tech manufacturing performance is better than that of the United States. On the one hand, due to small volume, the speed of development remains stable. On the other hand, China＇s industrial chain is complete, and the high degree of engineering leads to in strong correlation between industries.