北亚得里亚海集装箱港口群市场前景分析

Market prospect of container ports in north Adriatic Sea

欧洲发达市场是全球集装箱海运重要板块,对其市场发展潜力分析是中资企业参与欧洲集装箱港口投资的必要前提。集装箱港口市场发展潜力受多种因素影响,以腹地生产法进行市场预测是当前的主流方法,但该方法主要以外贸需求作为变量,存在片面性。针对当前海外港口集装箱市场分析中存在的问题,提出最优路径模型下港口集装箱市场规模预测,并以亚得里亚海北部港口群作为典型案例予以说明。分析表明,最优路径模型在大范围集装箱港口市场规模分析中具有较好的适应性,能够为投资决策提供参考。

The developed market of Europe is an important part of container shipping in the world. The analysis of its market development potential is the prerequisite for Chinese enterprises to participate in the European container port investment. Container port market is affected by many factors,and hinterland production method is the mainstream of the current method,but the method has some one-sidedness.This paper proposes the optimal path model,and studies the north Adriatic Sea port group as a typical case. The analysis shows that the optimal path model has a good adaptability in large-scale container port market size analysis and can provide reference for investment decision.