“一带一路”中亚区水资源利用与经济社会发展匹配度分析

Analysis of matching degree between water resource utilization and economic-social development in Central Asia area of “Belt and Road”

统计1997、2002、2007和2014年中亚区5国水资源利用(总用水量、农业用水量、工业用水量、生活用水量)和经济社会(人口、GDP)数据,采用基于数列的匹配度计算方法,分别计算了中亚各国水资源利用与经济社会发展在时间和空间上的匹配度。结果表明:1997—2014年中亚地区水资源利用与经济社会发展的时间匹配度呈先上升后下降的趋势;空间匹配度从大到小依次为:塔吉克斯坦、吉尔吉斯斯坦、土库曼斯坦、乌兹别克斯坦和哈萨克斯坦;水资源利用-GDP的匹配度略高于水资源利用-人口的匹配度,工业用水量与经济社会发展的匹配度略高于总用水量、农业用水量、生活用水量与经济社会发展的匹配度。

The water resources utilization data including total water use,agricultural water use,industrial water use,and domestic water use and economic-social data including population and GDP of five Central Asia countries in 1997,2002,2007,and 2014 were calculated by using a calculation method of matching degree based on the data sequence. The matching degree between water resource utilization and economic-social development in Central Asia countries was calculated in time and space. The results indicate that： overall,from 1997 to 2014,the time matching degree between water resource utilization and economic-social development in Central Asia increases first and then decreases; in space, the matching degree of water resource utilization and economic-social development in Central Asia is Tajikistan,Kyrgyzstan,Turkmenistan,Uzbekistan,and Kazakhstan from large to small; the matching degree between water resource utilization and GDP is slightly higher than that between water resource utilization and population. The matching degree between industrial water use and economic-social development is slightly higher than that between other water use and economic-social development.