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基于模糊贝叶斯的塔机施工安全风险评价研究 被引量:3

Study on Safety Risk Assessment of Tower Crane Construction Based on Fuzzy Bayesian Theory
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摘要 针对当前塔机施工安全事故多发,选取了煤矿地面建筑工程项目实例,依据安全系统工程方法,对塔机施工过程中的危险因素进行了辨识。将故障树向贝叶斯网络转化,结合模糊综合评价,从概率大小和损失大小两个方面对实际塔机施工作业进行安全风险评价,结果表明该方法具有合理性、适用性,可以供项目管理者在塔机施工风险评价中借鉴。 In view of the frequent accidents in the construction of the tower crane, a case of the ground construction project is selected and the risk factors in the construction process of the tower are identified according to the safety system engineering method. The fault tree is transformed into the Bayesian network, and combined with the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation, the safety risk assessment of the actual tower crane construction operation is carried out from two aspects of probability and loss. The results show that the method is reasonable and applicable, which can be used for reference by project managers in the risk assessment of tower crane construction.
作者 周剑学 薛善治 彭益璟 Zhou Jian-xue1 ,Xue Shan-zhi1,Peng Yi-jing2(1.Coal Industry Jinan Design & Research Co., Ltd., Shandong Ji'nan 250031; 2.School of Management of Wuhan University of Science and Technology, Hubei Wuhan 43000)
出处 《山东煤炭科技》 2018年第6期192-194,197,200,共5页 Shandong Coal Science and Technology
关键词 事故树 贝叶斯网络 塔机 风险评价 accident tree bayesian network tower crane risk evaluation
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