一带一路背景下中国—印尼纺织服装产业关联效应分析

Analysis on the correlation between textile and garment industry in China and Indonesia

经济全球化、区域经济一体化与国际分工日益深化的背景下,全球各个国家产业之间的联系越来越紧密,国际产业关联理论也越来越多地应用到实际分析中。为了对一带一路背景下我国纺织服装产业跨国合作提供一定的理论指导,及对不同国家间的纺织服装产业合作提供分析思路,文章利用国际产业关联理论与方法,以欧盟2016年12月发布的世界投入产出表为数据支撑,通过里昂惕夫逆矩阵模型,分别计算了影响力系数及感应力系数,并提取中国与印尼的计算结果,得到了2国纺织服装产业关联效应,并进行了相关分析。得出:我国纺织服装产业对印尼纺织服装产业的影响水平与波及水平均较高,而印尼纺织服装产业对我国纺织服装产业影响水平较高,感应水平较低,同时对2国纺织服装产业合作提出了对策与建议。

The interrelationship among national industries is getting closer for the fast development of the economic globalization and regional economic integration, and the theory of international industrial correlations is increasingly applied to practical analysis. Aimed to providing theoretical guidance for industry cooperation between different countries,in this paper,based on the WIOD released in November 2016,the calculation of two indicators are sorted out,and the correlation effect of textile and garment industry between China and Indonesia were analyzed by using the theory and model of international industrial correlations. The following conclusions were drawn： the influence and ripple effect of China＇s textile and garment industry to Indonesia is high, the ripple effect of Indonesia to China is low while influence effect is high. Based on the conclusions, some suggestions were given for the cooperation between China and Indonesia＇s garment industry.