基于引力模型的山东省城市物流联系及空间格局研究

Urban Logistics Connection and Spatial Pattern of Shandong Province Based on Gravity Model

基于引力模型思想和原理,构建了山东省区域物流引力模型和物流地位模型.结合山东省城市物流所涉及的经济、信息、成本、距离、基础设施等因素,以山东省17个地级市2015年的统计数据为基础,计算城市物流质量、区域物流引力和物流地位等指数值,对区域间物流联系强度和区域物流发展水平进行定量分析.研究结果表明:山东省城市物流发展水平形势基本良好,其中济南市发展水平最高;但各城市物流产业之间存在经济和地区上的不均衡;山东省城市物流总体上呈现"一超多强"的空间格局,半岛地区优于内陆地区.最后,在对各地级市城市物流发展的综合测算与分析的基础上,针对促进物流引力加强和经济协调发展提出了一些指导建议.

Based on the idea and principle of gravity model,the gravity model and logistics status model of shandong province were constructed. Combining with the economic,information,cost,distance and infrastructure of Shandong urban logistics,based on statistics from 17 prefecture-level cities in Shandong Province in2015,the quality of urban logistics,regional logistics gravity and logistics status were calculated and the regional logistics connection strength and regional logistics development level were quantitatively analyzed. The results are as follows： the level of urban logistics development is basically positive in Shandong Province,and Jinan has the highest level of development. However,there are economic and regional imbalances among the logistics industries in all cities. The overall urban logistics shows a spatial pattern of＂one super,multiple strong＂in Shandong Province and the peninsula area is superior to the inland area. At last,On the basis of comprehensive calculation and analysis of urban logistics development in all prefecture-level cities,some suggestions were put forward to promote enhancement of logistics gravity and the coordinated development of economy.