考虑评估指标关联性的我国军民融合发展水平评估研究——基于DEMATEL-ANP模型与灰色关联分析法

Evaluation on Development of China's Civil-Military Integration Considering Relevance of Evaluation Index:Research based on DEMATEL-ANP and Grey Relational Analysis

军民融合发展水平评估作为一项复杂的系统工程,其评估指标间不可避免地存在相互依存和影响关系。考虑到评估指标间的相互关联性,运用DEMATEL-ANP方法,从军民融合发展的基础、策略、环境3个方面构建我国军民融合发展水平评估指标体系,并对指标权重进行分析,在此基础上,利用灰色关联分析法对我国军民融合发展水平进行实证评估。研究发现,物质条件是推进我国军民融合发展的重要基础,军民融合的重点在国防科技和武器装备领域,二者军民深度融合发展的着力点在企业,而企业内组织结构和人员配置对军民融合的适应性是其军民融合式发展的关键;当前我国军民融合发展水平整体上初步迈入中等级别,但不同领域的发展水平存在一定差异。

Civil-military integration is a complex systematic project.The indexes of the evaluation on civil-military integration are interdependent and interact with each other.The indexing system for evaluation on development of China’s civilmilitary integration covering the basis,strategy and environment is built in this paper.Meanwhile,considering the correlation between evaluation indexes,DEMATEL-ANP model is used to assign the indexes weights.And on this basis,the grey relational analysis method is used to make empirical evaluation on development of civil-military integration in China.The result shows that material conditions are the basis to promote the development of China’s civil-military integration.The key areas of China’s civil-military integration should be the defense-related science and technology,as well as the weapons and equipment.In addition,the focus of the civil-military integration in these two areas is enterprises,and the adaptability of enterprises’ organization structure and staffing to civil-military integration is the key.Furthermore,the development of China’s civil-military integration preliminary reaches the medium level as a whole,but there are significant differences between the development of different evaluation indexes.