基于GM(1,1)模型的牡丹江市林产总值预测

Based on GM(1,1) Model for Prediction of Output Value of Forestry Industry in Mudanjiang City

运用灰色系统理论中的GM(1,1)预测模型,对牡丹江市未来林产总值进行预测.预测结果表明,牡丹江市林产总值年平均增长速度基本稳定在11.5%左右.模型精度和可信度较高,可作为相关决策部门研究林业产值的依据.

A scientific prediction of the outputvalue of forestry industry in future years after analyzing the output value of forestry industry for Mudanjiang city in the recent 6 years by GM（1,1）grey predictive,get scientific forecast value by correlation test and post test error test.