重大项目社会稳定风险评估主体间关系研究——基于文本的实证分析

Research on the Inter-Subject Relationships in Major Projects’ Social Stability Assessment:An Empirical Analysis Based on Texts

重大项目社会稳定风险评估（简称＂稳评＂）机制是在风险社会背景下,预防和化解社会矛盾的顶层设计。其中评估主体贯穿稳评的各个环节,明确认识主体类别、厘清主体间关系类型、探明主体结构特征等对于促进决策科学化、健全稳评机制、指导稳评实践均有重要意义。因此,本文以72份重大项目稳评文件和20份稳评报告为样本,利用内容分析法梳理出稳评主体间的关系类型和现状;而后利用社会网络,对各类主体在不同关系类型网络中的结构进行可视化分析,并对不同关系网络的结构特征进行了纵向比较,对各类主体在稳评过程中发挥的作用及其出现差异的原因进行了解释。最后,针对研究结论提出了完善稳评工作和主体间关系的对策建议。本文主要结论如下：（1）稳评主体间关系以合作关系为基础,进一步细分为组织协调关系、监督指导关系、责任追究关系等三种形态的子关系类型;（2）主体间＂权力-责任＂格局虽已初步形成,但与其配套的责任追究机制有待进一步完善;（3）主体间治理模式以＂政府主导型＂为主,公众监督、参与水平亟待加强。

Social stability risk assessment of major projects is to prevent and resolve social contradictions and govern the social risks. The subjects of social stability risk assessment run through each link of stability evaluation. To know the categories and characteristics of stability evaluation of subjects clearly and clarify the relationship types among different subjects in the process of stability evaluation are further perfecting stability evaluation of the governance structure and evaluation effect. On this basis,this article selects 92 texts including documents and reports of major projects stability evaluation as the sample. The content analysis methodology is used into basic categories and main characteristics of the main body in stability evaluation. Then,the social network analysis methodology is used to explore the structure of various kinds of subjects in evaluation in different relationship types of the network. The main conclusions are as follows：（1） The basic type of the relationship between stability evaluation of subjects is cooperation relations which can be further subdivided into three sub relations： organization and coordination,supervision,and responsibility relationship;（2） Though the pattern of ＂powerresponsibility＂has been initially formed,the mechanism of accountability with it needs to be further improved;（3） The network governance patterns among subjects is still given priority to the ＂government＇s leading network＂,and the public supervision and participation need to be strengthened.