农户尺度距离因素对农村居民增收的影响——以武汉市郊区763份样本为例

The Influence of Distance Factors on the Increase of Rural Residents' Income at the Farmers' Level——Evidence from 763 Samples in the Suburbs of Wuhan City

建立农户尺度的空间计量模型和OLS回归模型,利用武汉市郊区763户农村家庭的调查数据,对农村居民收入的距离效应进行实证研究。结果表明,(1)研究区农村居民收入存在相对显著的空间相关性,采用空间计量模型较优于OLS回归模型,但空间溢出效应比较小。(2)距离因素对农村居民收入的影响存在差异,其中农村居民家庭所在地与区政府的距离对农村居民收入的影响显著为正,与最近乡镇中心的距离效应显著为负,而与首位城市中心的距离效应为正,统计上差异不显著。在宏观层次,应继续增强首位城市的辐射作用,差异化实施就地城镇化;在微观层次,应营造农村公共空间,提高教育培训水平,并且加强村民之间的沟通交流,持续增加农村居民收入。

The purpose of this paper is to test distance effects of rural residents ＇ income in suburbs of Wuhan city at the farmers＇ level. Spatial Econometric Model and OLS regression model is employed. The results are as follows ：①There is some spatial auto-correlation in the rural residents＇ income in the study area. Spatial econometric model is better than OLS regression model, but spatial spillover effect is relatively small.②The influence of different distance factor types on the rural residents＇ income is different. Among them, The distance between the location of the rural residents and the distance from district government has a positive effect on the rural residents ＇ income, and the distance effect from the center of the nearest township is significantly negative. The distance effect from the center of the first rank of cities is positive, but it is not statistically significant. We suggest that rural residents ＇ income would be increased, at the macro level, by strengthening the spillover effect of the development of the first rank of cities, and differentiating the implementation of local urbanization. At the micro level, by creating rural public space to strengthen cooperation between the villagers ＇ communication and improving the level of education and training.