摘要
对物流业集聚影响制造业升级的空间溢出效应机制进行分析,文章基于中国31个省2005-2016年的面板数据利用Moran’s I对制造业升级的空间相关性进行分析,在对各变量的平稳性进行检验的基础上,运用空间杜宾模型分析了中国物流业集聚对制造业升级的直接效应、溢出效应以及总效应。结果显示:一个省份的物流业集聚不仅能通过直接效应促进本省份制造业升级,而且还能够通过空间溢出效应促进周边邻近省份的制造业升级,此外,邻近省份间的制造业升级存在相互促进作用。
The mechanism of the spatial spillover effect of concentration of logistics industry on the manufacturing industry upgrade is analyzed, based on the panel data of 31 provinces in China during 2005-2014, using the Moran ＇s I to analyze the spatial con＇elation of manufacturing upgrading ,on the basis of the test of the stationarity of each variable, applying the spatial Dubin model to analyze the direct effects, spillover effects and total effects of concentration of logistics industry on the manufacturing industry upgrade. The results show that the concentration of logistics industry in a province can not only promote the manufacturing industry upgrade of itself through the direct effect, but also promote the manufacturing industry upgrade of the neighboring provinces through the spatial spillover effects, in addition, manufacturing industry upgrade among neighboring provinces is mutually promotion.
作者
尤振来
赵军鹏
YOU Zhen-lai;ZHAO Jun-peng(School of Economics and Management,Yanshan University,Qinhuangdao 066004,China)
出处
《安徽行政学院学报》
2018年第4期61-66,共6页
Journal of Anhui Academy of Governance
基金
河北省社会科学基金项目"京津冀生产性服务业与制造业的耦合关系及协同发展对策研究"(HB17YJ109)
关键词
物流业集聚
制造业升级
空间杜宾模型
空间溢出效应
concentration of Logistics industry
manufacturing industry upgrade
spatial Dubin model
spatial spillover effect
