长江经济带物流业集聚的时空格局与影响因素研究

Study Spatial-temporal Pattern and Influencing Factors of Logistics Agglomeration in Changjiang River Economic Belt

物流产业集聚对提高物流效率、发挥溢出效应具有重要作用,提高物流产业集聚水平是提升区域内竞争力的关键。基于2006—2015年长江经济带省际面板数据,研究了长江经济带物流集聚的时空格局及其影响因素。结果表明:(1)下游地区物流集聚水平呈下滑趋势,上游地区呈上升趋势,中游地区则具有空间锁定和路径依赖性,物流集聚水平相对平稳;(2)研究期间,长江经济带物流产业集聚的层次异质性得到弱化,但局域异质性凸显出来;(3)所选因素均对本地物流集聚产生了促进作用,其中工业增加值和社会消费水平对物流集聚的推动作用最大,而各因素对周边地区物流集聚主要起到负溢出效应,总体上"回流效应"大于"扩散效应"。

The agglomeration of logistics industry played an important role in improving logistics efficiency and spillover effect,the realization of logistics industry agglomeration was the key to enhancing regional competitiveness. Based on the provincial panel data along the Changjiang River Economic Belt from 2006 to 2015,this paper analyzed the spatiotemporal evolution and driving forces of logistics agglomeration along Changjiang River Economic Belt. The results showed that：（1）The agglomeration degree of logistics industry in the downstream areas showed a downward trend,upstream areas were on the rising trend,but the region of middle reaches was with spatial locking and path dependence,logistics industry agglomeration level was relatively stable.（2）During the research period,the heterogeneity of logistics industry agglomeration gradually was weakened in the overall region,the spatial local heterogeneity became prominent.（3）The selected factors promoted the agglomeration of local logistics industry,industrial added value and social consumption had the greatest role in promoting the agglomeration of logistics industry,but played a negative spillover effect to the surrounding area,in general,the ＂return effect＂was greater than ＂diffusion effect＂.