农地流转与农村减贫——基于湖南省贫困地区的检验

Farmland Circulation and Rural Poverty Reduction:An Empirical Test from the Poverty-stricken Areas in Hunan Province

本文首先分析了农地流转减贫效应的理论机理,然后利用湖南省贫困地区的贫困发生率为被解释变量,农地流转为核心解释变量,经济发展水平、历史因素、民族因素等为控制变量进行多元线性回归。结果显示,农地流转对贫困发生率的弹性系数为-0.02,并在5%的显著水平下通过了检验;控制变量经济发展水平、民族因素对贫困发生率的弹性系数分别为-0.001和0.051,并均通过了显著性检验。因此,建议合理加大贫困地区农地流转,形成规模经济,以达到加快经济发展的目的,有助于贫困地区的脱贫。

In this paper,the theoretical mechanism of poverty reduction in the farmland transfer is first analyzed. Then,the effect of farmland circulation on the incidence of rural poverty in poverty-stricken areas of Hunan Province is empirically studied by a multiple linear regression,with the level of economic development,historical factors,ethnic factors and other variables as the control variables. The results show that the elasticity of agricultural land transfer to poverty incidence is-0. 02,which is significant at95% confidence level. The elasticity for the level of economic development and ethnic factors to the incidence of poverty are-0. 001 and 0. 051,respectively,both are statistically significant. Thus,promoting farmland transfer in poverty-stricken areas is a reasonable means to form economy of scale and industrial economy,which can further accelerate economic development and help poverty alleviation in these areas.