临汾市已婚已育人群二孩生育抉择及影响因素研究

Investigation on procreative choice for the second child of married reproductive age people in Linfen city and its influence factors

目的:了解山西省临汾市20~49岁已婚已育人口的二孩生育意愿。方法:采用多阶段分层抽样。调查问卷内容包括个人基本情况、实际生育状况和生育意愿3个方面。结果:该市已婚已育人口年龄分布主要集中在25~39岁,其平均理想子女数为1.79;有63.8%的一孩家庭认为2个孩子最理想,而有48.4%的人打算生育二孩。logistic回归模型结果,收入、医疗保障及二孩性别偏好是抉择是否生育二孩的影响因素。结论:从多方面关注二孩生育问题,除了关注人群收入外,更应加强医疗保障的作用,并且二孩性别偏好呈现新模式。

Objective：To investigate the intention for the second child of people of married reproductive age people（20 to 49 years old）in Linfen city of Shanxi province.Methods：The investigation was conducted by multistage stratified random sampling.The questionnaire included the basic situation,the actual fertility situation,and the willingness for the second child.Results：The age structure of married people mainly distributed between 25 to 39 years old in the Linfen city.The ideal average number of child was 1.79,63.8% family with single child though two children were better,and 48.4% people planned to have the second child.The Logistic regression analysis showed that the income,medical insurance,and gender preference for the second child were the impact factors of the willingness for the second child.Conclusion：The situation of the willingness for the second child should be paid attention to from various aspects.Besides focusing on people＇s income,medical insurance should be reinforced,furthermore,the gender preference for the second child presents new model.