新一轮科技革命发展趋势及其对世界经济格局的影响

The development trend of the new round of scientific and technological revolution and its influence on the world economic pattern

新一轮科技革命对世界经济格局的影响主要体现在对总量和结构两方面。从总量看,新一轮科技革命将改变世界经济面临的供给侧约束,推动世界经济进入新一轮长周期的上升阶段。从结构看,新一轮科技革命将从微观企业结构、中观产业结构、宏观国家竞争力结构三个层面,推动世界经济发生深刻变化。同时,新一轮科技革命对就业和收入分配的冲击更加明显,加剧冷战结束以来的不平等趋势,给世界经济带来新的风险和挑战。

Similar to the previous two industrial revolutions,the impacts of the new round of technological revolution on the world economic pattern are mainly reflected in two aspects of total volume and structure.From the perspective of total volume,the new round of technological revolution will change the supply side constraints facing the world economy and push the world economy into the rising stage of a new long cycle.From the perspective of total structure,the new round of scientific and technological revolution will promote the profound changes in the world economy from three aspects of micro enterprise structure,medium industrial structure and macro national competitiveness structure.At the same time,the impacts of the new round of scientific and technological revolution on employment and income distribution are more obvious,aggravating the unequal trend since the end of the cold war and bringing new risks and challenges to the world economy.