旅游业与新型城镇化互动发展路径的研究

A Study on the Interactive Development of Tourism and New Urbanization in Anhui Province

针对旅游业与新型城镇化互动发展路径,首先,选取安徽省1995~2016年的相关数据,构建OLS回归、向量自回归等模型,分析安徽省旅游业与城镇化之间的关系;其次,使用系统聚类的方法对安徽省16个地级市的发展现状进行聚类分析;最后根据聚类结果分别探讨不同城市旅游业与新型城镇化互动发展的路径研究.研究结果表明:旅游业的发展对安徽省城镇化进程具有非常显著的推动作用,安徽省16个地级市可以分为4类,不同城市应该根据自身条件探索出新型发展路径.

According to the tourism industry and the new urbanization development path,selected the related data from 1995 to 2016 in Anhui Province,the OLS regression and vector autoregressive model are first constructed, the relationship between tourism and urbanization in Anhui province is analyzed.Secondly,the current situation of the development of cluster is analyzed using the method of system clustering of 16 cities of Anhui province the path of the last. According to the clustering results,the development paths in different city tourism and new urbanization are discussed. The results show that： the development of the tourism industry has a very significant role in promoting the process of urbanization in Anhui Province,16 prefecture level cities in Anhui province can be divided into 4 categories,and different city should be based on their own conditions to explore a new way of development.