韩国“新北方政策”“新南方政策”与“一带一路”对接分析

A Study on the Connectivity Between "New Northern Policy", "New Southern Policy" of Republic of Korea and the Belt and Road Initiative

文在寅推出"朝鲜半岛新经济地图""新北方政策""新南方政策"等,旨在强化朝鲜半岛南北经济合作、与俄罗斯共同开发远东地区、与中国"一带一路"倡议对接。从宏观层次看,"新北方政策"与"一带一路"差异大于共性,其首要合作对象国是俄罗斯,其次是中国;从微观层次看,两者有一些交集区,包括东北三省与俄罗斯远东地区的开发;"新南方政策"与"一带一路"的交集主要在第三国。朝美就朝鲜弃核达成共识是大规模展开"对接"的必要条件。为了振兴东北、助力"一带一路"建设,中国有必要强化"对接"研究、稳步推进"对接"进程、促进朝鲜弃核、经济发展与半岛统一。

In order to strengthen North-South economic cooperation in Korean Peninsula, to develop the Far East in Russia and to connect withChina's Belt and Road Initiative(BRI), Moon Jae-in government proposed New Economic Map of the Korean Peninsula, New Northern Policy and New Southern Policy. From a macro perspective, differences between New Northern Policy and BRI are more than common grounds. It is Russia, not China, serving as the primary partner for New Northern Policy. From a micro perspective, China's Northeast and Russia's Far East are overlapping areas for the two policies. New Southern Policy and BRI only overlap in third countries. The connectivity only happens when DPRK and the United States make an agreement on DPRK's denuclearization. In order to develop the Northeast region in China and to implement BRI in Northeast Asia, China needs to make further research on "connectivity", to propel the connectivity stably, to help DPRK's denuclearization, economic development, and the reunification of the Korean Peninsula.